Вот самые предсказуемые токены 2021 года — Для тех, кто знал, где искать
Digital assets’ past performance is never a guarantee of future price movement. There are never two identical situations in the crypto market, so even historically similar patterns of a token’s behavior can be followed by starkly different price action charts.
Still, crypto assets’ individual history of price action often rhymes, giving those who can ready this history a massive edge over other traders. And, importantly, some tokens are much more likely than others to exhibit recurring behavior, which makes their bullish setups more recognizable ahead of time.
our site Markets Pro, a subscription-based data intelligence platform whose job is to search for regularities in crypto assets’ past trading behavior and alert traders to historically bullish conditions around individual assets, has been live for almost an entire year now. Based on a year’s worth of tokens’ performance data, here are the assets that exhibited historically bullish trading conditions most frequently, along with their subsequent price dynamics.
Top 20 digital assets by the number of days with VORTECS™ Scores of 80, 85 and 90. Source:our site Markets Pro
The chart shows the top 20 digital assets by the overall number of instances when they hit a VORTECS™ Score of 80. VORTECS™ Score — это алгоритмический индикатор, который учитывает множество переменных вокруг каждой монеты — включая перспективы рынка, движение цен, социальные настроения и торговую активность — чтобы оценить, являются ли ее текущие условия исторически бычьими, нейтральными или медвежьими. Обычно оценки VORTECS™ выше 80 баллов считаются уверенно бычьими, а 90 баллов и выше указывают на крайнюю уверенность модели в чрезвычайно благоприятных перспективах актива.
Несмотря на то, что метаверсивные монеты занимают первое и третье места в этом списке — Axie Infinity Shards (AXS) и Decentraland’s SAND, соответственно — ни один сектор цифровых активов не доминирует на диаграмме: токены протоколов первого уровня и децентрализованных финансов (DeFi) также широко представлены в первой двадцатке. Из этих данных следует, что вероятность того, что токен продемонстрирует исторически благоприятные торговые модели, не зависит от его класса активов.
Например, AXS превышал показатель Score 80 в 75 случаях, в то время как токен AVAX протокола layer-one протокола Avalanche зафиксировал 42 случая исторически благоприятного прогноза, а токен DeFi COTI показал 40 дней с высоким показателем VORTECS™.
Average gains generated by top 20 high-VORTECS™ assets 24, 48 and 96 hours after reaching the Scores of 80 and 90. Source:our site Markets Pro
The second chart presents the average gains that frequent top VORTECS™ performers yielded 24, 48 and 96 hours after hitting the Scores of 80 and 90. There are few bars pointing below zero, but the majority show solid positive returns, meaning that most assets consistently appreciated after demonstrating strong bullish conditions. Here’s AVAX, one of the top performers:
24 hours after Score 80: Average gain 2.5%
48 hours after Score 80: Average gain 5.3%
96 hours after Score 80: Average gain 10.4%
24 hours after Score 90: Average gain 10.8%
48 hours after Score 90: Average gain 16.0%
96 hours after Score 90: Average gain 19.1%
Other high scorers boast even more impressive returns on certain timeframes. For one, Terra’s LUNA did exceptionally well 48 and 96 hours after achieving a VORTECS™ Score of 90, yielding on average 31.7% and 40.9%, respectively.
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Granted, some assets behaved less consistently, with average returns bars pointing both above and below zero, while others such as AAVE, Loopring’s LRC and Origin Protocol’s OGN tended to lose value after flashing historically bullish patterns.
Nevertheless, the performance of most of the featured assets is overwhelmingly positive, beating the market by a wide margin. This trend is observed across hundreds of VORTECS™ Score instances and remains robust over the period of 12 months that included stints of bull, bear and sideways market action. It might not be a universal law, but it is evident that there is a sizable group of well-performing crypto tokens whose history often rhymes, much to the savvy traders’ delight.
our site is a publisher of financial information, not an investment adviser. We do not provide personalized or individualized investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are volatile investments and carry significant risk including the risk of permanent and total loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Figures and charts are correct at the time of writing or as otherwise specified. Live-tested strategies are not recommendations. Перед принятием финансовых решений проконсультируйтесь со своим финансовым консультантом.